Both teams are coming into this clash low on confidence, but Koln have still managed to win some games compared to Kiel who have won just one competitive game all season, which is why we expect the hosts to edge this out, even if it goes to extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Holstein Kiel
61.47% ( -0)	19.66%	18.87% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.32% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.84% (

34.16% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.95% (

56.05% (

-0.01)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.23% (

-0)

10.77% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.22% (

-0)

34.78%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72% (

31.28% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

67.63% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 61.47%

Holstein Kiel 18.87%

Draw 19.66%

FC Koln	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.22% 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.02% 4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.34% 5-1 @ 1.79% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-2 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.15% Total : 61.47%	1-1 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.66%	1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 18.87%