SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Magdeburg |
44.65% ( 0.27) | 23.62% ( 0.16) | 31.73% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 61.39% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.64% ( -0.94) | 40.36% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.26% ( -0.98) | 62.73% ( 0.97) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( -0.27) | 18.38% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.48% ( -0.46) | 49.52% ( 0.46) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( -0.71) | 24.78% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.64% ( -1) | 59.35% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.59% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.73% |
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