Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hannover would win this match.