Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
-0.76) 
0.8) 
