SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Magdeburg |
43.16% ( -0.76) | 22.9% ( -0.03) | 33.94% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 64.98% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.97% ( 0.43) | 36.02% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.87% ( 0.47) | 58.12% ( -0.47) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( -0.13) | 17.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.44% ( -0.23) | 47.56% ( 0.23) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( 0.63) | 21.47% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.49% ( 0.95) | 54.5% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.18% Total : 43.16% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.63% Total : 33.94% |
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