Given the contrasting form of the two teams, we can only envisage a home victory on Saturday.
With momentum on their side and the chance to climb into the top six, Baumgart's side should have enough to sweep the strugglers aside on home turf.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 12.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for FC Koln in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Koln.
