Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
