Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
