Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
