SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Pauli in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Schalke 04 |
59.26% ( -0.12) | 21.22% ( 0.05) | 19.51% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( -0.12) | 40.58% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( -0.13) | 62.96% ( 0.13) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( -0.07) | 13.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.73% ( -0.15) | 40.27% ( 0.16) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( 0) | 34.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.86% ( 0) | 71.14% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 59.26% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.3% 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.88% 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.51% |
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