Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
1.05) 
-1.14) 
