Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Ingolstadt 04 win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Ingolstadt 04 would win this match.
