SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Emmen in this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Emmen |
48.63% ( -0.44) | 23.79% ( 0.24) | 27.58% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( -0.97) | 43.53% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% ( -0.96) | 65.93% ( 0.97) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( -0.54) | 18.04% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.07% ( -0.94) | 48.93% ( 0.94) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( -0.36) | 29.13% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( -0.45) | 65.05% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.61% Total : 48.63% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.58% |
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