SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 16.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
64.55% ( 0.8) | 19.08% ( -0.07) | 16.36% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.06% ( -1.06) | 35.94% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.97% ( -1.18) | 58.03% ( 1.18) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.49% ( -0.1) | 10.51% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.81% ( -0.23) | 34.18% ( 0.23) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.91% ( -1.49) | 35.09% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.16% ( -1.6) | 71.84% ( 1.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.41)1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.94% Total : 64.55% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.08% | 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.54% Total : 16.36% |
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