SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | NAC Breda |
45.37% ( 2.22) | 23.99% ( -0.05) | 30.63% ( -2.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( -0.66) | 42.62% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% ( -0.66) | 65.02% ( 0.65) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( 0.68) | 18.99% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( 1.12) | 50.54% ( -1.12) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( -1.66) | 26.57% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% ( -2.25) | 61.78% ( 2.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.31% Total : 45.37% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.63% |
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