Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Haka had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ilves in this match.