Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 18

Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK

Tammela Stadium

Ilves
0 - 4
Honka

Miettunen (26'), Almen (90')
Jantti (29')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aalto (22'), Koski (58'), Bagaric (85'), Kaufmann (90+1' pen.)

Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and Honka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.

Result
Ilves	Draw	Honka
29.54% ( 0.04)	26.64% ( -0)	43.82% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.24% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6% (

0.03)

54.4% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.22% (

0.03)

75.77% (

-0.03)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69% (

0.05)

33.31% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07% (

0.05)

69.93% (

-0.05)

Honka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34% (

-0.01)

24.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.81% (

-0.01)

59.18% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ilves 29.54%

Honka 43.82%

Draw 26.64%

Ilves	Draw	Honka
1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.54%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.82%