SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | SJK | 13 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 13 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Lahti | 15 | -20 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 13 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Lahti | 15 | -20 | 12 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 13 | -15 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HIFK Fotboll win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HIFK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
35.49% ( 0.59) | 27.43% ( 0.15) | 37.07% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.91% ( -0.56) | 56.09% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.83% ( -0.45) | 77.16% ( 0.45) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( 0.09) | 30.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.75% ( 0.12) | 66.24% ( -0.12) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( -0.71) | 29.13% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% ( -0.88) | 65.06% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.07% |
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