SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lahti | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 9 | -9 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 9 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Oulu | 10 | 2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | Honka |
20.25% ( 1.5) | 24.61% ( 0.45) | 55.14% ( -1.95) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( 0.13) | 53.81% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( 0.11) | 75.28% ( -0.11) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.71% ( 1.76) | 41.29% ( -1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( 1.52) | 77.81% ( -1.52) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( -0.69) | 19.44% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.71% ( -1.15) | 51.29% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.25% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 10.76% ( -0.54)1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.12% |
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