SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 16 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 17 | 10 | 36 |
| 3 | Honka | 16 | 19 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 17 | 10 | 36 |
| 3 | Honka | 16 | 19 | 33 |
| 4 | Haka | 17 | -3 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Honka had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Honka |
52.42% ( -0.71) | 24.39% ( 0.23) | 23.19% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.17% ( -0.44) | 49.83% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.17% ( -0.39) | 71.82% ( 0.39) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.44) | 18.97% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( -0.74) | 50.51% ( 0.75) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( 0.21) | 36.1% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% ( 0.22) | 72.88% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.42% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 23.19% |
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