SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 14 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 16 | 9 | 33 |
| 3 | Honka | 14 | 14 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 15 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Lahti | 15 | -20 | 12 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 14 | -15 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
63.16% ( -1.35) | 22.37% ( 0.69) | 14.47% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 42.99% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.26% ( -1.4) | 53.73% ( 1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% ( -1.19) | 75.22% ( 1.19) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( -0.93) | 16.5% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.77% ( -1.7) | 46.22% ( 1.7) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.48% ( 0.13) | 48.52% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.39% ( 0.1) | 83.61% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | HIFK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 14.42% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.69% Total : 63.15% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 14.47% |
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