SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | IFK Mariehamn | 13 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | SJK | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | Lahti | 13 | -11 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 3 | Honka | 12 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Inter Turku | 13 | 7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for SJK had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Honka |
32.1% ( 0.41) | 28.42% ( 0.22) | 39.49% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 46.09% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.86% ( -0.69) | 60.13% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.66% ( -0.52) | 80.34% ( 0.53) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( -0.07) | 34.46% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( -0.08) | 71.17% ( 0.08) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( -0.7) | 29.68% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( -0.86) | 65.73% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.48% |
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