Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.