Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.38%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for KuPS in this match.