Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for KuPS had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a KuPS win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.