SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Ekenas IF |
42.77% ( 0.35) | 25.19% ( 0.06) | 32.04% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.55% ( -0.41) | 47.45% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.34% ( -0.38) | 69.66% ( 0.38) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( -0.01) | 22.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% ( -0.01) | 55.53% ( 0.02) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( -0.46) | 28.05% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( -0.59) | 63.7% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Ekenas IF |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.04% |
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