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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Oulu |
32.61% ( 0.02) | 24.15% ( -0.01) | 43.24% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.87% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( 0.05) | 42.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% ( 0.05) | 64.92% ( -0.05) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( 0.04) | 25.29% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% ( 0.05) | 60.06% ( -0.05) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( 0.02) | 19.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% ( 0.03) | 51.96% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.61% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 43.24% |
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