SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
46.77% ( 4.05) | 24.99% ( -0.33) | 28.24% ( -3.71) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( -0.32) | 48.39% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( -0.3) | 70.53% ( 0.3) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 1.7) | 20.73% ( -1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.65% ( 2.61) | 53.35% ( -2.61) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% ( -2.75) | 31.16% ( 2.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.51% ( -3.33) | 67.49% ( 3.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.88)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.43)3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.65)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.33)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.63)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.65)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.48)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.41)Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.24% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
