Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.
Result | ||
Gnistan | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
46.77% (![]() | 24.99% (![]() | 28.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% (![]() | 48.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.47% (![]() | 70.53% (![]() |
Gnistan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.27% (![]() | 20.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.65% (![]() | 53.35% (![]() |
IFK Mariehamn Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.84% (![]() | 31.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.51% (![]() | 67.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gnistan | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
1-0 @ 10.16% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.33% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 11.85% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.53% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.24% |
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