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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Lahti |
27.34% ( 0.84) | 23.4% ( -0.06) | 49.26% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.08% ( 0.92) | 41.91% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.68% ( 0.92) | 64.32% ( -0.92) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( 1.1) | 28.46% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% ( 1.36) | 64.22% ( -1.36) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( 0.05) | 17.18% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.56% ( 0.09) | 47.44% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Lahti |
| 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.56% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.99% Total : 49.26% |
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