Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.