SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | SJK |
17.59% ( -0.05) | 21.76% ( 0.04) | 60.64% |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0.27) | 46.01% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( -0.26) | 68.32% ( 0.25) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( -0.22) | 39.74% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( -0.2) | 76.41% ( 0.2) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( -0.09) | 14.71% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.08% ( -0.17) | 42.91% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.59% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)Other @ 1% Total : 21.76% | 0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 10.73% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.86% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.26% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 60.63% |
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