SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
40.57% ( -0.6) | 25.71% ( 0.16) | 33.72% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( -0.61) | 49.25% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( -0.55) | 71.3% ( 0.54) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.57) | 24% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% ( -0.82) | 58.26% ( 0.82) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( -0.02) | 27.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( -0.03) | 63.47% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.72% |
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