SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
48.07% ( -0.02) | 23.74% ( 0.03) | 28.19% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.11% ( -0.14) | 42.88% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.71% ( -0.14) | 65.28% ( 0.14) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( -0.06) | 18% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.12% ( -0.1) | 48.87% ( 0.1) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( -0.08) | 28.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.91% ( -0.1) | 64.09% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.64% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.19% |
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