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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
29.1% ( 0.14) | 25.5% ( 0.18) | 45.39% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( -0.69) | 50.06% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( -0.62) | 72.03% ( 0.61) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( -0.26) | 31.38% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( -0.3) | 67.75% ( 0.29) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( -0.43) | 22.03% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.64% ( -0.66) | 55.35% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.1% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.38% |
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