SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 63.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | Ilves |
15.83% ( 0.11) | 20.6% ( 0.17) | 63.56% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.95% ( -0.56) | 44.05% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.57% ( -0.55) | 66.43% ( 0.55) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.26% ( -0.21) | 40.74% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.68% ( -0.19) | 77.32% ( 0.19) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.81% ( -0.25) | 13.19% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.09% ( -0.52) | 39.91% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 15.84% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.6% | 0-2 @ 11.02% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.45% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.39% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.05% Total : 63.56% |
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