SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Inter Turku had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Inter Turku win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Inter Turku |
51.69% ( 1.26) | 24.31% ( -0.47) | 24% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 52.94% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( 1.22) | 48.74% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( 1.1) | 70.84% ( -1.1) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.98) | 18.84% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.72% ( 1.62) | 50.28% ( -1.61) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.23% ( -0.03) | 34.77% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.5% ( -0.03) | 71.5% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.69% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.09% Total : 24% |
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