SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Lahti |
46.46% ( -0.12) | 23.88% ( 0.14) | 29.65% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.36% ( -0.66) | 42.64% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.96% ( -0.67) | 65.04% ( 0.66) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( -0.31) | 18.55% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.2% ( -0.53) | 49.8% ( 0.52) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -0.35) | 27.22% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% ( -0.45) | 62.64% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Lahti |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.46% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.65% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
