SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Inter Turku had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Inter Turku win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Inter Turku |
48.75% ( -0.16) | 25.81% ( -0.05) | 25.44% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% ( 0.34) | 53.54% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( 0.29) | 75.05% ( -0.29) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( 0.07) | 21.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.72% ( 0.11) | 55.28% ( -0.11) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( 0.37) | 36.14% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.08% ( 0.37) | 72.92% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.75% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.44% |
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