SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 21 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Ilves | 21 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ilves | 21 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 21 | -10 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
36.79% ( 0.03) | 25.43% ( 0.02) | 37.78% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( -0.09) | 47.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( -0.08) | 69.82% ( 0.08) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( -0.02) | 25.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.95% ( -0.03) | 60.05% ( 0.04) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( -0.06) | 24.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( -0.09) | 59.3% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.79% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.78% |
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