Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lahti | Draw | Ilves |
22.14% ( -0.74) | 23.67% ( 0.34) | 54.18% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 52.7% ( -2.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.03% ( -2.28) | 47.96% ( 2.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.86% ( -2.13) | 70.14% ( 2.13) |
Lahti Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.96% ( -1.95) | 36.04% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.18% ( -2.05) | 72.82% ( 2.05) |
Ilves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.39% ( -0.69) | 17.6% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.81% ( -1.21) | 48.18% ( 1.21) |
Score Analysis |
Lahti | Draw | Ilves |
1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.85% Total : 22.14% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.78) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.62% Total : 54.18% |
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