SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
36.88% ( 0.1) | 25.17% ( 0.01) | 37.95% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.14% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.54% ( -0.06) | 46.46% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.26% ( -0.06) | 68.74% ( 0.06) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.03) | 24.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( 0.04) | 59.24% ( -0.04) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -0.09) | 24.12% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( -0.13) | 58.42% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.88% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.95% |
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