SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | KuPS |
39.39% ( 0) | 25.59% ( -0.02) | 35.02% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% ( 0.07) | 48.47% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( 0.07) | 70.6% ( -0.06) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0.03) | 24.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( 0.05) | 58.63% ( -0.05) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( 0.04) | 26.7% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( 0.05) | 61.96% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.02% |
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