SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Gnistan |
28.34% ( -0.1) | 24.48% ( -0.82) | 47.17% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( 2.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( 3.46) | 46.1% ( -3.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.59% ( 3.19) | 68.4% ( -3.19) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 1.72) | 29.89% ( -1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( 2.03) | 65.99% ( -2.03) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( 1.8) | 19.63% ( -1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.4% ( 2.86) | 51.59% ( -2.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Gnistan |
| 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.72) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.34% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.91)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.88) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.35)0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.25)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.01% Total : 47.17% |
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