SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Gnistan |
36.02% ( -0.49) | 24.85% ( -0.05) | 39.14% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.99% ( 0.2) | 45.01% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% ( 0.19) | 67.36% ( -0.19) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( -0.18) | 24.51% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( -0.26) | 58.97% ( 0.26) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( 0.37) | 22.86% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.41% ( 0.54) | 56.59% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Gnistan |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.02% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.14% |
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