Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TBC win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Haka had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a TBC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
