SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Haka had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Haka |
44.23% ( -0.98) | 26.24% ( 0.62) | 29.53% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( -1.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% ( -2.32) | 52.85% ( 2.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% ( -2.02) | 74.47% ( 2.02) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -1.46) | 23.78% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% ( -2.15) | 57.93% ( 2.15) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( -0.93) | 32.51% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( -1.06) | 69.04% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.68)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.53% |
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