Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
