SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 21 | -10 | 21 |
| 11 | Lahti | 21 | -23 | 18 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 21 | -28 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Honka | 21 | 25 | 41 |
| 4 | Haka | 21 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | SJK | 21 | -1 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Lahti win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Haka |
27.24% ( 0.14) | 23.49% ( 0.1) | 49.27% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.57% ( -0.36) | 42.43% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( -0.36) | 64.84% ( 0.36) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( -0.08) | 28.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( -0.11) | 64.65% ( 0.1) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.62% ( -0.23) | 17.38% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.22% ( -0.4) | 47.78% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Haka |
| 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 27.24% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.27% |
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