SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Haka had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HJK Helsinki in this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
33.6% ( -0.02) | 26.88% ( -0.01) | 39.51% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.85% ( 0.05) | 54.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.44% ( 0.05) | 75.56% ( -0.05) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( 0.01) | 30.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( 0.02) | 66.54% ( -0.01) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( 0.05) | 26.8% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% ( 0.06) | 62.09% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.6% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.51% |
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