SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Haka had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
35.63% ( 0.31) | 25.44% ( -0.42) | 38.93% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( 1.88) | 47.77% ( -1.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( 1.71) | 69.96% ( -1.7) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( 1.07) | 26.01% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( 1.42) | 61.04% ( -1.42) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( 0.91) | 24.2% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.47% ( 1.27) | 58.53% ( -1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.35% Total : 35.63% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.5)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 3% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.93% |
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