SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for SJK had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest SJK win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | SJK |
41.06% ( -0.02) | 25.86% ( -0.04) | 33.08% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( 0.21) | 50.04% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( 0.19) | 72.02% ( -0.18) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( 0.08) | 24.11% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( 0.11) | 58.41% ( -0.1) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( 0.15) | 28.65% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.53% ( 0.19) | 64.47% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.06% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.08% |
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